But Prof Medley - who chairs the modelling group SPI-M, which advises Sage - told the BBC s Today programme that the epidemic could still go in two directions, up or down, and it s up to the government to decide which of those paths it takes.

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Given these concerns, Facebook has stepped up funding for independent fact-checkers and a number of platforms including Facebook, Twitter, and YouTube have taken down misinformation that breached guidelines, including a video from Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro.