Many of the colleges that have already seen outbreaks this fall have reported case counts much higher than those thresholds.

http://vthec.instructure.com/eportfolios/714/MasteronP_100_Mg_Daily__Dragon_Pharma__Injectable_Steroids
http://ian.instructure.com/eportfolios/196113/Pct_Free_Training_Software__Pharmaqo_Labs__Post_Cycle_Therapy

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Even if you end up with a topic close to your heart, you should begin with research, using books and articles that will give you a full understanding of the subject.